Microsoft's Secret Weapon: The GDID That Caught 'Scattered Spider' Teen

July 4th, 2026  |  1 hr 36 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by Thinkst Canary. Most Companies find out way too late that they’ve been breached. Thinkst Canary changes this. Deploy Canaries and Canarytokens in minutes and then forget about them. Attackers tip their hand by touching ’em giving you the one alert, when it matters. With 0 admin overhead and almost no false-positives, Canaries are deployed (and loved) on all 7 continents.)

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 104: We discuss the return of Anthropic's Fable 5 from export-control suspension with guardrails so aggressive that spelling "exploit" gets you downgraded. Plus, a debate on AI frontier labs killing businesses at scale, and OpenAI offering equity to the US government.

Also, buried on page nine of a 'Scattered Spider' arrest indictment: Microsoft's never-before-detailed GDID device identifier, a persistent Windows fingerprint with massive implications for OPSEC, privacy, and APT tracking.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade.

Timestamps:
0:00 Cold open: Heat wave in Washington DC
3:45 Fable 5 returns after the 15-day timeout
5:21 "Refined classifiers" and the downgrade-to-Opus mess
8:23 Codex vs. Claude: real-world malware analysis test
12:41 Who are the guardrails for? Defenders locked out
19:13 What even is a "jailbreak assessment framework"?
21:37 Two theories: failed PR vs. killing a thousand startups
24:59 Could the labs build kernels or a whole OS?
31:38 Bureaucracy is the moat
36:09 Can AI actually run an attack? (Spoiler: 14 detections)
47:01 OpenAI offers the US government a 5% stake
58:16 Scattered Spider arrest and Microsoft's GDID revelation
1:12:02 OPSEC fallout: how APT groups adapt to device telemetry
1:27:18 UFO update, shout-outs from Seoul

US Gov Takes the Wheel: Who Gets to Use the Best AI?

June 29th, 2026  |  1 hr 53 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by Thinkst Canary. Most Companies find out way too late that they’ve been breached. Thinkst Canary changes this. Deploy Canaries and Canarytokens in minutes and then forget about them. Attackers tip their hand by touching ’em giving you the one alert, when it matters. With 0 admin overhead and almost no false-positives, Canaries are deployed (and loved) on all 7 continents.)

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 103: We dive into the U.S. government's takeover of frontier-model rollouts (Mythos, Fable, and OpenAI's Sol/Terra/Luna) and what it means when intelligence gets commoditized but access gets rationed.

Plus, Costin's all-Chinese open-weight stack, the economics of burning tokens, a fresh Salesforce OAuth breach, and jellyfish UFOs over Iran.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade.

Timestamps:
0:00 — Introductory banter, Thinkst Canary sponsorship
2:55 — Why threat intel analysts are built for the AI moment
11:09 — Government takes the wheel: Mythos, Fable & the frontier labs
16:15 — Did the government go too far/not far enough?
25:42 — Anthropic's "best PR campaign in history"
31:52 — Alibaba, distillation & the model-router cartel
40:58 — Costin's stack: Chinese open-weight models & token economics
46:12 — Dumping, evals & the real work of AI engineering
1:04:32 — Soft power: how the world gets pushed toward China
1:14:43 — "The bullshit": over-refusal & the Opus 4.8 regression
1:32:03 — The trillion-dollar IPO endgame
1:35:49 — The Klue OAuth breach and secure-by-default
1:45:32 — Shout-outs: UAP jellyfish, LABScon 2026

Katie Moussouris on the Anthropic Export-Control Mess

June 19th, 2026  |  1 hr 38 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 102: Software export controls expert Katie Moussouris joins the show to unpack the US government's abrupt move to suspend access to Anthropic's most powerful models over a so-called "jailbreak" that, on reading the paper, turned out to be a model doing exactly what defenders are supposed to do.

We dig into the export-control chaos, the chemical-weapons framing of cybersecurity, the China question, and why Microsoft just resurrected a disclosure term the industry buried fifteen years ago.

Cast: Katie Moussouris, Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade. Costin is traveling.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Introductory banter
1:00 - Export Controls: Fable 5 and Mythos 5 suspended
3:40 - The Anthropic–USG relationship and USG’s surveillance claim
9:40 - Self-owns, doomsday cults, and why the guardrails are "so broad"
12:42 - What the Amazon paper actually says ("fix this code")
20:33 - The chemical-weapons framing problem
23:39 - The China question and the SK Telecom angle
41:17 - Why hasn't the paper been published?
57:01 - "Free Fable": are Chinese models only months behind?
1:00:13 - The unforgiving internet and the security poverty line
1:11:18 - Microsoft brings back "responsible disclosure" (and threatens researchers)
1:29:04 - Luta Security, the AI bug flood, and shout-outs

Mythos, Fable, and Anthropic's Big Trust Problem

June 12th, 2026  |  1 hr 59 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 101: We discuss Anthropic's Mythos 5 and Claude Fable 5 release and the bombshell that the company was silently downgrading paid users' results, sparking a heated debate over guardrails, gatekeeping, and whether elite AI reasoning is becoming a privilege for the few.

Plus, AI-generated N-day exploits killing the patch window, a record-shattering Patch Tuesday, Meta's latest court filing against spyware maker NSO Group, the return of cyber paleontology, and a detour into the new government UFO drops.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Introductory banter
3:22 - The Mythos 5 / Claude Fable 5 release
14:42 - Anthropic’s silent downgrade trust problem
26:18 - Anti-competitive behavior & the AV "stealing detection" parallel
32:29 - Distillation, China & the real motive
38:04 - "Too dangerous to release" & gatekeeping vs. guardrailing
45:53 - Is Mythos a threat to malware-analysis startups?
48:20 - Dario's AI regulation essay
56:48 - N-day exploits and death of the patch window
1:07:18 - Patch Tuesday and 10x vulnerability surge
1:10:34 - Meta catches NSO Group
1:14:45 - Cyber paleontology, Shadow Brokers leaks
1:28:29 - Moonlight Maze and learning from history
1:34:22 - UFOs, UAPs and Disclosure Day

Fast16, Fanny, and Stuxnet: Cyber Paleontology Redux

June 5th, 2026  |  2 hrs 24 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 100: We cover AI eating reverse engineering, the death of the malware report, running local models on the DGX Spark, where Google DeepMind stands, and whether the frontier labs will stay in cybersecurity.

Plus, more on Anthropic's Mythos rollout and the thinly sourced Anthropic-NSA reports, the Fast16 sabotage of physics calculations, what researchers choose not to publish, Microsoft's bad Black Hat email, and Costin's Friday UFO files.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade.

Timestamps:
0:00 - JAGS at InfoSecurity Europe
3:40 - Sponsor: TLPBLACK
5:54 - A roadmap for security after the AI revolution
11:01 - Stripe Atlas and how easy it is to start a company
15:00 - If anyone could reverse engineer anything for $5
19:49 - Layoffs at Google's Threat Intelligence Group
21:06 - The death of reading the report
27:53 - Pitting the AI models against each other
32:07 - Grok, local models, and the DGX Spark
39:27 - Where is Google DeepMind?
45:29 - Will the frontier labs stay in cybersecurity?
52:41 - Mythos, Project Glasswing, and the NSA deal
1:16:33 - FAST16, Stuxnet, and sabotaging Iran's bomb
1:57:52 - Microsoft, Black Hat, and the chilling effect
2:14:14 - Shout-outs, UFO files, and 100 episodes

Microsoft Threatens Vuln Researchers; Shadow Brokers Revisited

May 30th, 2026  |  1 hr 59 mins

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by Ent.ai: Ent delivers intent-aware security that protects every action, adapts to every workflow, and works for every user. Enterprise threat detection, reimagined.).

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 99: Microsoft is now threatening legal action against researchers who drop zero-days. We debate whether it's a fair line against extortion, or amateur-hour PR from a company that already torched its own research community? Costin plays reluctant defender, JAGS says the damage was done years ago, and Ryan reopens the long history of silent fixes and stolen bounties.

Plus, on the 10th anniversary of the Shadow Brokers leak, we discuss some enduring mysteries, theories on attribution and an interesting trail that leads to Edward Snowden.

We also unpack Rob Joyce's warning that China's cyber explosives are already planted in US infrastructure, and the Pope's warnings about around artificial intelligence.

Cast: Costin Raiu, Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Introductory banter
2:03 - The Pope's AI paper
3:35 - New sponsor: Brandon Dixon's Ent Security
9:34 - Costin's Chinese-model OSINT rabbit hole
13:34 - Codex, GPT-5.5, and the "American AI welfare state"
23:20 - Microsoft threatens vulnerability researchers
27:06 - Is it extortion or retribution? The disclosure fight
40:48 - How Microsoft's consultant class broke MSRC and MSTIC
48:42 - Silent fixes, stolen bounties, and the marketing machine
1:02:29 - Ten years of the Shadow Brokers
1:14:20 - The Snowden theory
1:32:34 - Rob Joyce: China's cyber explosives are in place
1:53:26 - Shout-outs

Aaron Portnoy on Pwn2Own, the End of Easy Bugs, and AI-Fueled Offense

May 27th, 2026  |  40 mins 9 secs

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem x Ekoparty Miami: Aaron Portnoy (Zero Day Initiative alum, early Pwn2Own organizer, and now at Mindgard) joins us at Ekoparty Miami to reminisce on the early days of the hacking contest, where vulnerabilities actually live (the boundaries between systems, not inside them), why LLMs will take out the trash but can't dream up the next speculative-execution-class bug, and the coming patching apocalypse when discovery 10x's overnight.

Plus, why your SOC is a forensic historian, the promise of hijacking an attacker's reward loop with deception tech, and the legendary story of carrying a Walmart "fat stack" of cash to bootstrap Ekoparty in Buenos Aires.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Aaron Portnoy.

Timestamps:
0:00 — Introductory banter
1:17 — Dropping out, iDefense, and getting good at reversing everything
2:19 — How Pwn2Own got started
4:15 — The most impressive Pwn2Own ever: Nils, VUPEN, and exploit "art"
5:59 — "iPhone hacked in 30 seconds" — and the 18 months behind it
6:41 — Does Pwn2Own still have a place in the AI era?
9:16 — Why LLMs take out the trash but can't invent the next bug class
12:48 — Will LLMs deliver new mitigation classes? Aaron's skeptical
18:34 — The place of the human when the easy bugs run dry
21:08 — Cognitive offloading, Halvar's warning, and skill rot
22:39 — Decompiling 800k functions: Aaron's LLM "holy shit" moment
25:26 — The patching apocalypse and why "assume breach" breaks
28:15 — Compounding asymmetries: why offense just transcended defense

Perri Adams on Proof Engines, LLMs, and the New Era of Verifiable Code

May 26th, 2026  |  40 mins 27 secs

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem x Ekoparty Miami: Perri Adams of DARPA AIxCC fame joins the show to chat about proof engines, formal methods, and why LLMs just made a once-niche corner of computer science suddenly essential.

We get into why verifiers and proof engines are the key to effective AI, why vulnerability research is so far ahead of threat intel, and the case for baking security checks directly into code generation tools like Claude Code and Codex.

Plus, designing a multi-million dollar challenge that's allowed to fail, the Mythos "too dangerous to release" debate, and musings on every LLM-discovered bug being a public bug by default.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Gabriel Bernadette-Shapiro.

Timestamps:
0:00 — Introductory banter
1:09 — Why LLMs just made formal methods relevant again
4:03 — Proof engines, explained
8:43 — Can a layman grab this fire? The calculus problem
11:58 — Vuln researchers are scrappy kids with a trust fund
14:55 — Pitching AIxCC inside DARPA: hard sell or easy sell?
18:00 — Designing a challenge that's allowed to fail
22:06 — Inside Team Atlanta's 150-page winning system
24:00 — Why this is bigger for defense than for offense
31:49 — Mythos, safeguards, and "every LLM bug is a public bug"

Find 50,000 Bugs, Fix Zero: Gabriel Bernadett-Shapiro on the AI Vuln Trap

May 26th, 2026  |  49 mins 37 secs

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem x Ekoparty Miami: SentinelLabs researcher Gabriel Bernadett-Shapiro hops on the mic to unpack who gets to define what "security" even means in the age of AI, why venture capital keeps funding the wrong things, and how the frontier labs quietly ate everyone's coding harness.

Plus, how AI actually contributed to cracking the FAST 16 research, overcoming the guardrails, and why your domain expertise is the only thing keeping you out of full-blown rabbit-hole psychosis.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Gabriel Bernadett-Shapiro.

Timestamps:
0:00 Introductory banter
4:55 Gabe returns: how the models got scary-good at code
8:45 Bay Area short-termism and the "10x in 18 months" trap
11:35 VCs as tastemakers, and why that's broken
13:00 The unpaid-labor pipeline into the AI labs
18:00 The real misunderstanding about security's moat
20:18 Bug bounties: a net negative for the industry?
22:20 The great vuln fire sale — find 50,000, fix zero
27:28 Who will maintain vetted open-source libraries?
29:29 FAST 16: how AI actually broke the case open
35:05 The rabbit-holing machine and the path to "AI psychosis"
41:05 Stuxnet, Kim Zetter, and the story we'll never be told

Federico Kirschbaum on XBOW, AI Hackers, and the Future of Pen Testing

May 25th, 2026  |  58 mins 2 secs

ai, apt research, cyberespionage, nation-state, ransomware, zero-day

(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals).

Three Buddy Problem x Ekoparty Miami: Federico Kirschbaum, founder of Ekoparty and now head of Security Lab at XBOW, talks about what happens to offensive security when an autonomous AI hacker can find and exploit real vulnerabilities. Fede walks through XBOW's "Tales from the Trace," the surreal experience of watching a non-human adversary reason its way to an ASLR bypass, and why he believes pen-testing isn't dying but finally becoming accessible to far more than the world's biggest companies.

Plus, where humans still matter in the loop, whether an LLM-discovered bug is public by definition, the looming reckoning over software liability, and Halvar Flake's very honest fear of getting lazy.

Cast: Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Federico Kirschbaum

Timestamps:
0:00 Fede's move to XBOW
2:20 What's XBOW building? An AI hacker for real vulnerabilities
5:53 Where the human stays in the loop
6:35 The Exim bug: a craftsman races the LLM to an ASLR bypass
10:49 Does bug discovery still need a human asking the right question?
16:24 A short history: Satan, CORE, Metasploit, bug bounties
18:48 An LLM-discovered bug is public by definition
24:12 Halvar Flake's laziness worry & the assembly-to-C parallel
29:47 Rising tides: script kiddies get the full gamut
41:02 The economics: does pentesting get cheap?
43:18 Argentina, Ekoparty, and an untapped talent pipeline